A good article about Iraq's oil.
Tom
VICTORY IN IRAQ
Bush & Cheney Win War for Country’s Oil
Chris Floyd
truthout | UK Correspondent
‘Surging’ Toward the Ultimate Prize
The reason that George W. Bush insists that ‘victory’ is achievable in Iraq
is not that he is deluded or isolated or ignorant or detached from reality or
ill-advised. No, it’s that his definition of ‘victory’ is different from
those bruited about in his own rhetoric and in the ever-earnest disquisitions
of the chattering classes in print and online. For Bush, victory is indeed at
hand. It could come at any moment now, could already have been achieved by
the time you read this. And the driving force behind his planned “surge” of
American troops is the need to preserve those fruits of victory that are now
ripening in his hand. At any time within the next few days, the Iraqi Council
of Ministers is expected to approve a new “hydrocarbon law” essentially drawn
up by the Bush Administration and its UK lackey, the Independent reported
Sunday January 7. The new bill will “radically redraw the Iraqi oil industry
and throw open the doors to the third-largest oil reserves in the world,” says
the paper, whose reporters have seen a draft of the new law. “It would allow
the first large-scale operation of foreign oil companies in the country since
the industry was nationalized in 1972.” If the government’s parliamentary
majority prevails, the law should take effect in March.
As the paper notes, the law will give Exxon Mobil, BP, Shell and other carbon
cronies of the White House unprecedented sweetheart deals, allowing them to
pump gargantuan profits from Iraq’s nominally state-owned oilfields for
decades to come. This law has been in the works since the very beginning of the
invasion — indeed, since months before the invasion, when the Bush
Administration brought in Phillip Carroll, former CEO of both Shell and Fluor, the
politically-wired oil servicing firm, to devise “contingency plans” for divvying
up Iraq’s oil after the attack. Once the deed was done, Carroll was made head
of the American “advisory committee” overseeing the oil industry of the
conquered land, as Joshua Holland of Alternet.com has chronicled in two
remarkable reports on the backroom maneuvering over Iraq’s oil: “Bush’s Petro- Cartel
Almost Has Iraq’s Oil” and “The U.S. Takeover of Iraqi Oil.”
From those earliest days until now, throughout all the twists and turns, the
blood and chaos of the occupation, the Bush Administration has kept its eye
on this prize. The new law offers the barreling buccaneers of the West a juicy
set of production-sharing agreements (PSAs) that will maintain a fig leaf of
Iraqi ownership of the nation’s oil industry — while letting Bush’s Big Oil
buddies rake off up to 75 percent of all oil profits for an indefinite
period up front, until they decide that their “infrastructure investments” have
been repaid. Even then, the agreements will give the Western oil majors an
unheard-of 20 percent of Iraq’s oil profits — more than twice the average of
standard PSAs, the Independent notes.
Of course, at the moment, the “security situation” — i.e., the living hell
of death and suffering that Bush’s “war of choice” has wrought in Iraq —
prevents the Oil Barons from setting up shop in the looted fields. Hence Bush’s
overwhelming urge to “surge” despite the fierce opposition to his plans from
Congress, the Pentagon and some members of his own party. Bush and his inner
circle, including his chief adviser, old oilman Dick Cheney, believe that a
bigger dose of blood and iron in Iraq will produce a sufficient level of
stability to allow the oil majors to cash in the PSA chips that more than 3,000
American soldiers have purchased for them with their lives.
The American “surge” will be blended into the new draconian effort announced
over the weekend by Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki: an all-out war by
the government’s Shiite militia-riddled “security forces” on Sunni enclaves
in Baghdad, as the Washington Post reports. American troops will “support”
the “pacification effort” with what Maliki says calls “house-tohouse” sweeps
of Sunni areas. There is of course another phrase for this kind of
operation: “ethnic cleansing.”
The “surged” troops — mostly longserving, overstrained units dragooned into
extended duty — are to be thrown into this maelstrom of urban warfare and
ethnic murder, temporarily taking sides with one faction in Iraq’s hydra-headed,
multi-sided civil war. As the conflict goes on — and it will go on and on —
the Bush Administration will continue to side with whatever faction promises
to uphold the “hydrocarbon law” and those profitable PSAs. If “Al-Qaida in
Iraq” vowed to open the nation’s oil spigots for Exxon, Fluor and
Halliburton, they would suddenly find themselves transformed from “terrorists” into “
moderates” — as indeed has Maliki and his violent, sectarian Dawa Party,
which once killed Americans in terrorist actions but are now hailed as freedom’s
champions.
So Bush will surge with Maliki and his ethnic cleansing for now. If the
effort flames out in a disastrous crash that makes the situation worse — as it
almost certainly will — Bush will simply back another horse. What he seeks in
Iraq is not freedom or democracy but “stability” — a government of any shape
or form that will deliver the goods. As the Independent wryly noted in its
Sunday story, Dick Cheney himself revealed the true goal of the war back in
1999, in a speech he gave when he was still CEO of Halliburton. “Where is the oil
going to come from” to slake the world’s ever-growing thirst, asked Cheney,
who then answered his own question: “The Middle East, with two-thirds of the
world’s oil and the lowest cost, is still where the prize ultimately lies.”
And therein lies another hidden layer of the war. For Iraq not only has the
world’s second largest oil reserves; it also has the world’s most easily
retrievable oil. As the Independent succinctly notes: “The cost-per-barrel of
extracting oil in Iraq is among the lowest in the world because the reserves are
relatively close to the surface. This contrasts starkly with the expensive
and risky lengths to which the oil industry must go to find new reserves
elsewhere — witness the super-deep offshore drilling and cost-intensive techniques
needed to extract oil form Canada’s tar sands.”
This is precisely what Cheney was getting at in his 1999 talk to the
Institute of Petroleum. In a world of dwindling petroleum resources, those who
control large reserves of cheaply produced oil will reap unimaginable profits —
and command the heights of the global economy. It’s not just about profit, of
course; control of such resources would offer tremendous strategic advantages
to anyone who was interested in “full spectrum domination” of world affairs,
which the Bush/Cheney faction and their outriders among the neo-cons and the “
national greatness” fanatics have openly sought for years. With its twin
engines of corporate greed and military empire, the war in Iraq is a marriage
made in Valhalla.
The Win-Win Scenario
And this unholy union is what Bush is really talking about when he talks
about “victory.” This is the reason for so much of the drift and dithering and
chaos and incompetence of the occupation: Bush and his cohorts don’t really
care what happens on the ground in Iraq — they care about what comes out of the
ground. The end — profit and dominion — justifies any means. What happens
to the human beings caught up in the war is of no ultimate importance; the
game is worth any number of broken candles.
And in plain point of fact, the Bush-Cheney faction — and the elite interests
they represent — has already won the war in Iraq. I’ve touched on this
theme before elsewhere, but it is a reality of the war that is very often
overlooked, and is worth examining again. This ultimate victory was clear as long
ago as June 2004, when I first set down the original version of some of the
updated observations below.
Put simply, the Bush Family and their allies and cronies represent the
confluence of three long-established power factions in the American elite: oil,
arms and investments. These groups equate their own interests, their own wealth
and privilege, with the interests of the nation — indeed, the world — as a
whole. And they pursue these interests with every weapon at their command,
including war, torture, deceit and corruption. Democracy means nothing to them —
not even in their own country, as we saw in the 2000 election. Laws are just
whips to keep the common herd in line; they don’t apply to the elite, as Bush
’s own lawyers and minions have openly asserted in the memos, signing
statements, court cases and presidential decrees asserting the “inherent power” of
the “unitary executive” to override any law he pleases.
The Iraq war has been immensely profitable for these Bush-linked power
factions (and their tributary industries, such as construction); billions of
dollars in public money have already poured into their coffers. Halliburton has
been catapulted from the edge of bankruptcy to the heights of no-bid,
open-ended, guaranteed profit. The Carlyle Group is gorging on war contracts.
Individual Bush family members are making out like bandits from war-related
investments, while dozens of Bush minions — like Richard Perle, James Woolsey, and Joe
Allbaugh — have cashed in their insider chips for blood money.
The aftermath of the war promises equal if not greater riches. Even if the
new Iraqi government maintains nominal state control of its oil industry, there
are still untold billions to be made in PSAs for drilling, refining,
distributing, servicing and securing oilfields and pipelines. Likewise, the new
Iraqi military and police forces will require billions more in weapons,
equipment and training, bought from the U.S. arms industry — and from the
fast-expanding “private security” industry, the politically hard-wired mercenary forces
that are the power elite’s latest lucrative spin-off. And as with Saudi
Arabia, oil money from the new Iraq will pump untold billions into American banks
and investment houses.
But that’s not all. For even in the worstcase scenario, if the Americans had
to pull out tomorrow, abandoning everything — their bases, their contracts,
their collaborators — the Bush power factions would still come out ahead. For
not only has their already incalculable wealth been vastly augmented (with
any potential losses indemnified by U.S. taxpayers), but their deeply
entrenched sway over American society has also increased by several magnitudes. No
matter which party controls the government, the militarization of America is so
far gone now it’s impossible to imagine any major rollback in the gargantuan
U.S. war machine — 725 bases in 132 countries, annual military budgets
topping $500 billion, a planned $1 trillion in new weapons systems already moving
through the pipeline. Indeed, the Democratic ‘opposition’ has promised to
expand the military.
Nor will either party conceivably challenge the dominance of the energy
behemoths — or stand against the American public’s demand for cheap gas, big
vehicles, and unlimited consumption of a vast disproportion of the world’s oil.
As for Wall Street — both parties have long been the eager courtesans of the
investment elite, dispatching armies all over the world to protect their
financial interests. The power factions whose influence has been so magnified by
Bush’s war will maintain their supremacy regardless of the electoral outcome.
[By the way, to think that all of this has happened because a small band of
extremist ideologues — the neo-cons — somehow “hijacked” U.S. foreign policy
to push their radical dreams of “liberating” the Middle East by force and
destroying Israel’s enemies is absurd. The Bush power factions were already
determined to pursue an aggressive foreign policy; they used the neo-cons and
their bag of tricks — their inflated rhetoric, their conspiratorial zeal,
their murky Middle East contacts, their ideology of brute force in the name of ‘
higher’ causes — as tools (and PR cover) to help bring about a long-planned
war that had nothing to do with democracy or security or any coherent ideology
whatsoever beyond the remorseless pursuit of wealth and power, the blind
urge to be top dog.]
So Bush and his cohorts have won even if the surge fails and Iraq lapses into
perpetual anarchy, or becomes an extremist religious state; they’ve won even
if the whole region goes up in flames, and terrorism flares to unprecedented
heights — because this will just mean more war-profiteering, more
fearprofiteering. And yes, they’ve won even though they’ve lost their congressional
majority and could well lose the presidency in 2008, because war and fear will
continue to fill their coffers, buying them continuing influence and power
as they bide their time through another interregnum of a Democratic ‘centrist’
— who will, at best, only nibble at the edges of the militarist state —
until they are back in the saddle again. The only way they can lose the Iraq
War is if they are actually arrested and imprisoned for their war crimes. And we
all know that’s not going to happen.
So Bush’s confident strut, his incessant upbeat pronouncements about the war,
his complacent smirks, his callous indifference to the unspeakable horror he
has unleashed in Iraq — these are not the hallmarks of selfdelusion, or
willful ignorance, or a disassociation from reality. He and his accomplices know
full well what the reality is — and they like it.
Chris Floyd is an American journalist. His work has appeared in print and
online in venues all over the world, including The Nation, Counterpunch,
Columbia Journalism Review, the Christian Science Monitor, Il Manifesto and many
others. His story on Pentagon plans to foment terrorism won a “Project Censored”
award in 2003. He is the author of Empire Burlesque: High Crimes and Low
Comedy in the Bush Imperium, and is co-founder and editor of the “Empire
Burlesque” political blog. The above article was published on Truthout January 8,
2007.
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