HR 2454 will now be debated in Congress.  Public opinion has been swayed
against cap and trade legislation. Letters to editors and members of
Congress are needed to turn the tide.  Phyllis
Arctic is warmest in two millennia 
Randolph E. Schmid/The Associated Press
Published Thursday, September 3, 2009
WASHINGTON - The Arctic is warmer than it's been in 2,000 years, even
though it should be cooling because of changes in the Earth's orbit that
cause the region to get less direct sunlight.
Indeed, the Arctic had been cooling for nearly two millennia before
reversing course in the last century and starting to warm as human
activities added greenhouse gases to the atmosphere.
"If it hadn't been for the increase in human-produced greenhouse gases,
summer temperatures in the Arctic should have cooled gradually over the
last century," said Bette Otto-Bliesner, a National Center for
Atmospheric Research scientist and co-author of a study of Arctic
temperatures published in Friday's edition of the journal Science.
The most recent 10-year interval, 1999-2008, was the warmest of the last
2,000 years in the Arctic, according to the researchers led by Darrell S.
Kaufman, a professor of geology and environmental science at Northern
Arizona University.
Summer temperatures in the Arctic averaged 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit (1.4
degrees Celsius) warmer than would have been expected if the cooling had
continued, the researchers said.
The finding adds fuel to the debate over a House-passed climate bill now
pending in the Senate. The administration-backed measure would impose the
first limits on greenhouse gases and eventually would lead to an 80
percent reduction by putting a price on each ton of climate-altering
pollution.
It is the latest in a drumbeat of reports on warming conditions in the
Arctic, including:
- A marine scientist reports that Alaskan waters are turning acidic from
absorbing greenhouse gases faster than tropical waters, potentially
endangering the state's $4.6 billion fishing industry.
- NASA satellite measurements show that sea ice in the Arctic is more
than just shrinking in area, it is dramatically thinning. The volume of
older crucial sea ice in the Arctic has shrunk by 57 percent from the
winter of 2004 to 2008.
- Global warming effects in Alaska also include shrinking glaciers,
coastal erosion and the march north of destructive forest beetles
formerly held in check by cold winters.
And with the melting of land-based ice, such as the massive Greenland ice
cap, sea levels could rise across the world, threatening millions who
live in coastal cities.
The new report is based on a decade-by-decade reconstruction of
temperatures over the past 2,000 years developed using information from
ancient lake sediments, ice cores, tree rings and other samples. The
findings were then compared with complex computer climate model
simulations created at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in
Boulder, Colo.
"This study provides us with a long-term record that reveals how
greenhouse gases from human activities are overwhelming the Arctic's
natural climate system," commented NCAR scientist David Schneider, a
co-author on the study.
Added Jonathan T. Overpeck, a University of Arizona professor of
geosciences: "The Arctic should be very sensitive to human-caused climate
change, and our results suggest that indeed it is."
In addition, he pointed out, as the Arctic warms there is less snow and
ice to reflect solar energy back into space and the newly exposed dark
soil and dark ocean surfaces absorb solar energy and warm further,
accelerating the warming process.
The Arctic cooling had been the result of a 21,000-year cycle in the
Earth's movement that caused the far north to get progressively less
summertime energy from the sun for the last 8,000 years. That process
won't reverse for another several thousand years.
The research was funded by the National Science Foundation.
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