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Date:         Sun, 14 Apr 2013 21:43:43 -0400
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From:         John Hartz <[log in to unmask]>
Subject: World climate change goal at risk as emissions surge - UN
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Why do I keep saying =E2=80=9CWe are running our time!=E2=80=9D  The =
following article explains why in no uncertain terms. =20

John Hartz
Columbia, SC


-------------------------------------------------------------------------=
-------

World climate change goal at risk as emissions surge - UN
Fri, 12 Apr 2013 17:20 GMT

Source: Reuters // Reuters

* May need to suck emissions from air if cuts delayed

* Would mark sea change in climate change policy

* Greenhouse gases rising at record pace, led by China

By Environment Correspondent Alister Doyle

OSLO, April 12 (Reuters) - A global goal for limiting climate change is =
slipping out of reach and governments may have to find ways to =
artificially suck greenhouse gases from the air if they fail to make =
deep cuts in rising emissions by 2030, a draft U.N. report said.

A 25-page draft summary, by the U.N. panel of climate experts and due =
for publication in 2014, said emissions of heat-trapping gases rose to =
record levels in the decade to 2010, led by Asian industrial growth.

The surge is jeopardising a U.N. goal, set by almost 200 nations in =
2010, to limit a rise in temperatures to below 2 degrees Celsius above =
levels before the Industrial Revolution, according to the text seen by =
Reuters on Friday.

The panel, made up hundreds of the world's top climate scientists, is =
trying to condense all the peer reviewed findings since 2007 into a =
summary for policymakers.

Its draft said that if emissions were not checked by 2030, they would be =
so great that governments would have to take carbon dioxide out of the =
air to limit rising temperatures by the end of the century - not just =
cut emissions spewed from cars and factories - a sea change in the =
approach to climate change.

Governments must sign off on the document that emerges from the draft by =
Working Group Three of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and =
which will serve as the climate policy road map for the next six or =
seven years.

Delaying deep cuts until 2030 may make targets for limiting warming by =
2100 "physically infeasible without substantial overshoot and negative =
global emissions ... in the second half of the century", it said.

"Negative emissions" mean policies such as planting more forests that =
naturally absorb carbon dioxide from the air as they grow or burning =
biofuels, for instance wood or farm waste, and capturing and burying =
their greenhouse gas emissions.

Temperatures are already 0.8 C above pre-industrial levels and creeping =
higher despite a slowdown since around 2000, perhaps caused by more =
sun-dimming pollution from nations such as China and India that would =
reflect heat back into space or by more heat entering the oceans.

Most climate experts say the rising trend will pick up in coming years, =
though the reasons for the pause are unknown. Parts of Europe are having =
a late spring, for instance, while Australia suffered record summer =
heat.


FOSSIL FUELS

Almost 200 nations have agreed to work out by 2015 a new deal to combat =
climate change that would enter into force from 2020. Negotiations are =
sluggish, partly because the slowdown in warming has made many =
governments sceptical.

The draft, dated Feb. 25, lays out options such as a shift to nuclear =
power from fossil fuels, more use of renewable energies, greater =
efficiency in building insulation, biofuels or a shift to vegetarianism =
to cut emissions by livestock.

It said it was hard to quantify the 2C target in practical terms, but =
said it was 60 percent likely to be met if concentrations of greenhouse =
gases were kept below the carbon dioxide equivalent of 450 parts per =
million (ppm) of the atmosphere.

If concentrations rose to 550 ppm, the probability of staying below 2C =
would be only 40 to 50 percent. Carbon dioxide levels, driven up by =
fossil fuels burnt in factories, cars and power plants, are now almost =
400 ppm and steadily rising.

Scenarios showed that cuts of between 15 and more than 50 percent below =
2010 levels by 2030, along with shifts to renewable energies, would be =
needed to limit concentrations to 450 ppm by 2100, it said.

A previous report by the panel in 2007 said tough action to rein in =
climate change would cost less than 3 percent of global gross domestic =
product by 2030, slowing growth by less than 0.12 percent a year.

The new report does not give a direct comparison, but says a 450 ppm =
goal could be reached at a cost of less than 4 percent of GDP.

Another section of the draft, which is still subject to changes and =
revisions, was leaked in December by climate change sceptics.

It said it was "extremely likely" that human activities had caused more =
than half of the observed increase in global average surface =
temperatures since the 1950s.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and several climate =
scientists declined comment on the draft, saying they would wait until =
final publication. (Editing by Alison Williams)

http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/world-climate-change-goal-at-risk-as-e=
missions-surge-un/

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<HTML><HEAD></HEAD>
<BODY dir=3Dltr>
<DIV dir=3Dltr>
<DIV style=3D"FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri'; COLOR: #000000; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">
<DIV>Why do I keep saying =E2=80=9CWe are running our =
time!=E2=80=9D&nbsp; The following article=20
explains why in no uncertain terms.&nbsp; </DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>John Hartz</DIV>
<DIV>Columbia, SC</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<HR>

<H1=20
style=3D"BORDER-BOTTOM: rgb(204,204,204) 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: =
15px; LINE-HEIGHT: 18pt; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; BACKGROUND-COLOR: =
rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 4px 0px 18px; PADDING-LEFT: =
0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; FONT-FAMILY: ; =
WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; PADDING-TOP: 0px; =
-webkit-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 15pt" =
color=3D#555555>World=20
climate change goal at risk as emissions surge - UN</FONT></FONT></H1>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 13px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 2px 0px; =
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-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
class=3Ddate-comments align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT =
style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 8.3pt"=20
color=3D#999999><STRONG>Fri, 12 Apr 2013 17:20 =
GMT</STRONG></FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 13px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: =
capitalize; BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; =
MARGIN: 0px 0px 15px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; =
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-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
class=3Dauthor align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: =
8.3pt"=20
color=3D#dc0a0a>Source: Reuters // Reuters</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
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-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>* May=20
need to suck emissions from air if cuts delayed</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>* Would=20
mark sea change in climate change policy</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>*=20
Greenhouse gases rising at record pace, led by China</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>By=20
Environment Correspondent Alister Doyle</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>OSLO,=20
April 12 (Reuters) - A global goal for limiting climate change is =
slipping out=20
of reach and governments may have to find ways to artificially suck =
greenhouse=20
gases from the air if they fail to make deep cuts in rising emissions by =
2030, a=20
draft U.N. report said.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>A=20
25-page draft summary, by the U.N. panel of climate experts and due for=20
publication in 2014, said emissions of heat-trapping gases rose to =
record levels=20
in the decade to 2010, led by Asian industrial growth.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>The=20
surge is jeopardising a U.N. goal, set by almost 200 nations in 2010, to =
limit a=20
rise in temperatures to below 2 degrees Celsius above levels before the=20
Industrial Revolution, according to the text seen by Reuters on=20
Friday.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>The=20
panel, made up hundreds of the world's top climate scientists, is trying =
to=20
condense all the peer reviewed findings since 2007 into a summary for=20
policymakers.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>Its=20
draft said that if emissions were not checked by 2030, they would be so =
great=20
that governments would have to take carbon dioxide out of the air to =
limit=20
rising temperatures by the end of the century - not just cut emissions =
spewed=20
from cars and factories - a sea change in the approach to climate=20
change.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt"=20
color=3D#464646>Governments must sign off on the document that emerges =
from the=20
draft by Working Group Three of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate =
Change=20
and which will serve as the climate policy road map for the next six or =
seven=20
years.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt"=20
color=3D#464646>Delaying deep cuts until 2030 may make targets for =
limiting=20
warming by 2100 "physically infeasible without substantial overshoot and =

negative global emissions ... in the second half of the century", it=20
said.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt"=20
color=3D#464646>"Negative emissions" mean policies such as planting more =
forests=20
that naturally absorb carbon dioxide from the air as they grow or =
burning=20
biofuels, for instance wood or farm waste, and capturing and burying =
their=20
greenhouse gas emissions.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt"=20
color=3D#464646>Temperatures are already 0.8 C above pre-industrial =
levels and=20
creeping higher despite a slowdown since around 2000, perhaps caused by =
more=20
sun-dimming pollution from nations such as China and India that would =
reflect=20
heat back into space or by more heat entering the =
oceans.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>Most=20
climate experts say the rising trend will pick up in coming years, =
though the=20
reasons for the pause are unknown. Parts of Europe are having a late =
spring, for=20
instance, while Australia suffered record summer heat.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>FOSSIL=20
FUELS</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>Almost=20
200 nations have agreed to work out by 2015 a new deal to combat climate =
change=20
that would enter into force from 2020. Negotiations are sluggish, partly =
because=20
the slowdown in warming has made many governments =
sceptical.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>The=20
draft, dated Feb. 25, lays out options such as a shift to nuclear power =
from=20
fossil fuels, more use of renewable energies, greater efficiency in =
building=20
insulation, biofuels or a shift to vegetarianism to cut emissions by=20
livestock.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>It said=20
it was hard to quantify the 2C target in practical terms, but said it =
was 60=20
percent likely to be met if concentrations of greenhouse gases were kept =
below=20
the carbon dioxide equivalent of 450 parts per million (ppm) of the=20
atmosphere.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>If=20
concentrations rose to 550 ppm, the probability of staying below 2C =
would be=20
only 40 to 50 percent. Carbon dioxide levels, driven up by fossil fuels =
burnt in=20
factories, cars and power plants, are now almost 400 ppm and steadily=20
rising.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt"=20
color=3D#464646>Scenarios showed that cuts of between 15 and more than =
50 percent=20
below 2010 levels by 2030, along with shifts to renewable energies, =
would be=20
needed to limit concentrations to 450 ppm by 2100, it =
said.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>A=20
previous report by the panel in 2007 said tough action to rein in =
climate change=20
would cost less than 3 percent of global gross domestic product by 2030, =
slowing=20
growth by less than 0.12 percent a year.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>The new=20
report does not give a direct comparison, but says a 450 ppm goal could =
be=20
reached at a cost of less than 4 percent of GDP.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>Another=20
section of the draft, which is still subject to changes and revisions, =
was=20
leaked in December by climate change sceptics.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>It said=20
it was "extremely likely" that human activities had caused more than =
half of the=20
observed increase in global average surface temperatures since the=20
1950s.</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><FONT face=3DArial><FONT style=3D"FONT-SIZE: 9.8pt" =
color=3D#464646>The=20
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and several climate scientists =

declined comment on the draft, saying they would wait until final =
publication.=20
(Editing by Alison Williams)</FONT></FONT></P>
<P=20
style=3D"PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 15px; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; =
BACKGROUND-COLOR: rgb(255,255,255); TEXT-INDENT: 0px; MARGIN: 0px 0px =
19px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; LETTER-SPACING: normal; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; =
FONT-FAMILY: ; WHITE-SPACE: normal; COLOR: ; WORD-SPACING: 0px; =
PADDING-TOP: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; =
-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px"=20
align=3Dleft><A=20
style=3D"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; TEXT-INDENT: 0pt; WORD-SPACING: normal"=20
href=3D"http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/world-climate-change-goal-at-r=
isk-as-emissions-surge-un/"><FONT=20
face=3D"Times New =
Roman">http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/world-climate-change-goal-at-ri=
sk-as-emissions-surge-un/</FONT></A></P></DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>
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